Just out of curiosity, this morning I checked the Real Clear Politics Average on the eve of the 2008 Iowa caucus. Here are the stats:
Let's compare that with the current RCP Average:
Amazing. After campaigning for six years; spending millions in negative ads against his opponents; being declared the winner of nearly all debates by the pundits; Mitt Romney is still stuck at 25% when margin of error is taken into account. Simply amazing.